Hana Ghassan holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Pará governor race as the incumbent MDB candidate who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation for a Senate bid. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows a tight contest with Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos as the main challenger, though leads fluctuate and many voters remain undecided or open to change. Traders appear to factor in Ghassan’s access to state resources, COP30 organizational role, and party infrastructure against Santos’s appeal in opposition-leaning segments. Marginal pricing for Éder Mauro, Zequinha Marinho, and others aligns with their consistently low single-digit support in surveys. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHana Ghassan 62%
Dr. Daniel Santos 37%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$49,831 Vol.
$49,831 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
62%
Dr. Daniel Santos
37%
Éder Mauro
1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Hana Ghassan 62%
Dr. Daniel Santos 37%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$49,831 Vol.
$49,831 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$18,857 Vol.
62%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$13,228 Vol.
37%
Éder Mauro
$5,541 Vol.
1%
Zequinha Marinho
$3,020 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$3,071 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$3,054 Vol.
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$3,059 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Pará governor race as the incumbent MDB candidate who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation for a Senate bid. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows a tight contest with Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos as the main challenger, though leads fluctuate and many voters remain undecided or open to change. Traders appear to factor in Ghassan’s access to state resources, COP30 organizational role, and party infrastructure against Santos’s appeal in opposition-leaning segments. Marginal pricing for Éder Mauro, Zequinha Marinho, and others aligns with their consistently low single-digit support in surveys. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign developments.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$49,831Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Pará governor race as the incumbent MDB candidate who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation for a Senate bid. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows a tight contest with Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos as the main challenger, though leads fluctuate and many voters remain undecided or open to change. Traders appear to factor in Ghassan’s access to state resources, COP30 organizational role, and party infrastructure against Santos’s appeal in opposition-leaning segments. Marginal pricing for Éder Mauro, Zequinha Marinho, and others aligns with their consistently low single-digit support in surveys. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign developments.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$49,831Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Pará governor race as the incumbent MDB candidate who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation for a Senate bid. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows a tight contest with Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos as the main challenger, though leads fluctuate and many voters remain undecided or open to change. Traders appear to factor in Ghassan’s access to state resources, COP30 organizational role, and party infrastructure against Santos’s appeal in opposition-leaning segments. Marginal pricing for Éder Mauro, Zequinha Marinho, and others aligns with their consistently low single-digit support in surveys. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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