Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 8?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 Vol.
$125,174 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 Vol.
$125,174 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
$2,782 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,790 Vol.
No
20°C
$28,753 Vol.
No
21°C
$14,182 Vol.
No
22°C
$26,141 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$26,500 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,723 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,432 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,572 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,684 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,615 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$125,174Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125,174Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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