Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a maximum of 19°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 21, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability on that threshold. A building high-pressure ridge over the North Sea has promoted mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow and minimal cloud disruption, keeping daytime heating near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. Recent runs show little spread in maximum temperatures, with limited potential for either stronger subsidence warming toward 20°C or greater cloud cover and advection pulling values to 18°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the stability of these short-range forecasts against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions two days out.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 21?
19°C 52%
20°C 22%
18°C 22%
21°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
52%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 52%
20°C 22%
18°C 22%
21°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$26 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$47 Vol.
2%
17°C
$23 Vol.
5%
18°C
$287 Vol.
22%
19°C
$455 Vol.
52%
20°C
$103 Vol.
22%
21°C
$56 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a maximum of 19°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 21, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability on that threshold. A building high-pressure ridge over the North Sea has promoted mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow and minimal cloud disruption, keeping daytime heating near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. Recent runs show little spread in maximum temperatures, with limited potential for either stronger subsidence warming toward 20°C or greater cloud cover and advection pulling values to 18°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the stability of these short-range forecasts against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,265Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a maximum of 19°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 21, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability on that threshold. A building high-pressure ridge over the North Sea has promoted mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow and minimal cloud disruption, keeping daytime heating near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. Recent runs show little spread in maximum temperatures, with limited potential for either stronger subsidence warming toward 20°C or greater cloud cover and advection pulling values to 18°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the stability of these short-range forecasts against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,265Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a maximum of 19°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 21, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability on that threshold. A building high-pressure ridge over the North Sea has promoted mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow and minimal cloud disruption, keeping daytime heating near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. Recent runs show little spread in maximum temperatures, with limited potential for either stronger subsidence warming toward 20°C or greater cloud cover and advection pulling values to 18°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the stability of these short-range forecasts against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions two days out.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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