Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicates a daily maximum near 16–17 °C for Helsinki on September 19, supported by mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under cloudy, showery conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 14.7 °C while remaining within the typical interannual range. Persistent Atlantic low pressure and associated frontal systems have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms in recent days, with minimal model spread on peak values. Traders are weighting the 16 °C and 17 °C bins most heavily because further warming would require stronger ridging or clearer skies that current runs do not support, while cooler outcomes would need an unexpected cold-air intrusion unlikely before resolution. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 19?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 19?
16°C 55%
17°C 22%
15°C 13%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
7%
15°C
13%
16°C
55%
17°C
22%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
17°C 22%
15°C 13%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$24 Vol.
13%
16°C
$119 Vol.
55%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicates a daily maximum near 16–17 °C for Helsinki on September 19, supported by mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under cloudy, showery conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 14.7 °C while remaining within the typical interannual range. Persistent Atlantic low pressure and associated frontal systems have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms in recent days, with minimal model spread on peak values. Traders are weighting the 16 °C and 17 °C bins most heavily because further warming would require stronger ridging or clearer skies that current runs do not support, while cooler outcomes would need an unexpected cold-air intrusion unlikely before resolution. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$143Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicates a daily maximum near 16–17 °C for Helsinki on September 19, supported by mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under cloudy, showery conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 14.7 °C while remaining within the typical interannual range. Persistent Atlantic low pressure and associated frontal systems have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms in recent days, with minimal model spread on peak values. Traders are weighting the 16 °C and 17 °C bins most heavily because further warming would require stronger ridging or clearer skies that current runs do not support, while cooler outcomes would need an unexpected cold-air intrusion unlikely before resolution. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicates a daily maximum near 16–17 °C for Helsinki on September 19, supported by mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under cloudy, showery conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 14.7 °C while remaining within the typical interannual range. Persistent Atlantic low pressure and associated frontal systems have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms in recent days, with minimal model spread on peak values. Traders are weighting the 16 °C and 17 °C bins most heavily because further warming would require stronger ridging or clearer skies that current runs do not support, while cooler outcomes would need an unexpected cold-air intrusion unlikely before resolution. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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