Recent forecast runs from agencies and models indicate a high temperature in Wuhan on September 19 most likely between 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds following widespread rain on the 17th and 18th are limiting daytime heating, while the subtropical monsoon climate typical of the region keeps baseline September maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns but some spread in cloud thickness that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or NOAA ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 19?
28°C 35%
29°C 26%
30°C 25%
27°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
23%
28°C
35%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 26%
30°C 25%
27°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
25%
31°C
$72 Vol.
8%
32°C
$117 Vol.
1%
33°C
$8 Vol.
1%
34°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from agencies and models indicate a high temperature in Wuhan on September 19 most likely between 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds following widespread rain on the 17th and 18th are limiting daytime heating, while the subtropical monsoon climate typical of the region keeps baseline September maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns but some spread in cloud thickness that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or NOAA ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$284Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from agencies and models indicate a high temperature in Wuhan on September 19 most likely between 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds following widespread rain on the 17th and 18th are limiting daytime heating, while the subtropical monsoon climate typical of the region keeps baseline September maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns but some spread in cloud thickness that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or NOAA ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from agencies and models indicate a high temperature in Wuhan on September 19 most likely between 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds following widespread rain on the 17th and 18th are limiting daytime heating, while the subtropical monsoon climate typical of the region keeps baseline September maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns but some spread in cloud thickness that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or NOAA ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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