Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 19 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover and light rain. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences and a mid-September pattern of small to moderate rainfall across eastern Sichuan are expected to limit daytime heating, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance for continued wet conditions through September 22. Basin topography often enhances cloud persistence and suppresses peak temperatures compared to clearer periods. Ensemble model consensus shows highs near 25°C under overcast skies, with slight upward shifts possible if rain timing delays or downward if heavier showers develop midday. Historical September averages around 24–25°C provide context for the tightly bunched probabilities near the median. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
28°C 36%
25°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 22%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
19%
28°C
36%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
25°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 22%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
19%
28°C
36%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 19 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover and light rain. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences and a mid-September pattern of small to moderate rainfall across eastern Sichuan are expected to limit daytime heating, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance for continued wet conditions through September 22. Basin topography often enhances cloud persistence and suppresses peak temperatures compared to clearer periods. Ensemble model consensus shows highs near 25°C under overcast skies, with slight upward shifts possible if rain timing delays or downward if heavier showers develop midday. Historical September averages around 24–25°C provide context for the tightly bunched probabilities near the median. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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