Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
17°C 100%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 Vol.
$135,882 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 Vol.
$135,882 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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