**Forecast models and real-time observations position Ankara's August 29 maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's concentration on 23 °C (32 %), 24 °C (44.5 %), and 25 °C (13 %).** Cooler northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover (often 80–98 %), and light showers or thunderstorms have limited daytime heating compared with typical late-August conditions, when highs commonly reach 30–32 °C. Official and private forecasts (Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and station data) converge on afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C, with several hourly profiles showing 22–24 °C between 13:00–17:00 local time before rapid evening decline. The modest 1–2 °C spread among leading outcomes reflects model agreement on modest instability and persistent cloudiness rather than strong solar insolation. Traders have updated probabilities in line with successive model runs and morning observations confirming the suppressed thermal profile, producing the current implied distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
24°C 44%
23°C 37%
25°C 16%
22°C 12%
$15,481 Vol.
$15,481 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
32%
24°C
44%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 37%
25°C 16%
22°C 12%
$15,481 Vol.
$15,481 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$1,704 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,780 Vol.
12%
23°C
$2,917 Vol.
32%
24°C
$3,396 Vol.
44%
25°C
$1,409 Vol.
16%
26°C
$1,284 Vol.
2%
27°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations position Ankara's August 29 maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's concentration on 23 °C (32 %), 24 °C (44.5 %), and 25 °C (13 %).**
Cooler northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover (often 80–98 %), and light showers or thunderstorms have limited daytime heating compared with typical late-August conditions, when highs commonly reach 30–32 °C. Official and private forecasts (Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and station data) converge on afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C, with several hourly profiles showing 22–24 °C between 13:00–17:00 local time before rapid evening decline. The modest 1–2 °C spread among leading outcomes reflects model agreement on modest instability and persistent cloudiness rather than strong solar insolation.
Traders have updated probabilities in line with successive model runs and morning observations confirming the suppressed thermal profile, producing the current implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,481Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations position Ankara's August 29 maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's concentration on 23 °C (32 %), 24 °C (44.5 %), and 25 °C (13 %).**
Cooler northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover (often 80–98 %), and light showers or thunderstorms have limited daytime heating compared with typical late-August conditions, when highs commonly reach 30–32 °C. Official and private forecasts (Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and station data) converge on afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C, with several hourly profiles showing 22–24 °C between 13:00–17:00 local time before rapid evening decline. The modest 1–2 °C spread among leading outcomes reflects model agreement on modest instability and persistent cloudiness rather than strong solar insolation.
Traders have updated probabilities in line with successive model runs and morning observations confirming the suppressed thermal profile, producing the current implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,481Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations position Ankara's August 29 maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's concentration on 23 °C (32 %), 24 °C (44.5 %), and 25 °C (13 %).** Cooler northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover (often 80–98 %), and light showers or thunderstorms have limited daytime heating compared with typical late-August conditions, when highs commonly reach 30–32 °C. Official and private forecasts (Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and station data) converge on afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C, with several hourly profiles showing 22–24 °C between 13:00–17:00 local time before rapid evening decline. The modest 1–2 °C spread among leading outcomes reflects model agreement on modest instability and persistent cloudiness rather than strong solar insolation. Traders have updated probabilities in line with successive model runs and morning observations confirming the suppressed thermal profile, producing the current implied distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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