Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,910 Vol.
$87,910 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,910 Vol.
$87,910 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
$5,390 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,359 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,380 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,859 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,645 Vol.
No
33°C
$21,510 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,935 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$11,199 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,002 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,312 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$5,319 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$87,910Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,910Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan