Recent short-term forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a July 4 high near 18–19°C in Helsinki, driven by Baltic Sea maritime moderation and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (39%) and 18°C (25%), reflecting typical early-July variability where average highs reach about 21°C but cooler northerly flows can suppress peaks by 2–3°C. Longer-range guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact maximums due to evolving cloud cover and wind patterns, while historical July data place 20°C+ outcomes as less probable without stronger anticyclonic influence. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 4?
20°C 100%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$162,431 Vol.
$162,431 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$162,431 Vol.
$162,431 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
14°C or below
$1,522 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,696 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,832 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,423 Vol.
No
18°C
$22,002 Vol.
No
19°C
$79,734 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,508 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$9,430 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,856 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,056 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$4,373 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a July 4 high near 18–19°C in Helsinki, driven by Baltic Sea maritime moderation and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (39%) and 18°C (25%), reflecting typical early-July variability where average highs reach about 21°C but cooler northerly flows can suppress peaks by 2–3°C. Longer-range guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact maximums due to evolving cloud cover and wind patterns, while historical July data place 20°C+ outcomes as less probable without stronger anticyclonic influence. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$162,431Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a July 4 high near 18–19°C in Helsinki, driven by Baltic Sea maritime moderation and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (39%) and 18°C (25%), reflecting typical early-July variability where average highs reach about 21°C but cooler northerly flows can suppress peaks by 2–3°C. Longer-range guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact maximums due to evolving cloud cover and wind patterns, while historical July data place 20°C+ outcomes as less probable without stronger anticyclonic influence. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$162,431Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent short-term forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a July 4 high near 18–19°C in Helsinki, driven by Baltic Sea maritime moderation and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (39%) and 18°C (25%), reflecting typical early-July variability where average highs reach about 21°C but cooler northerly flows can suppress peaks by 2–3°C. Longer-range guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact maximums due to evolving cloud cover and wind patterns, while historical July data place 20°C+ outcomes as less probable without stronger anticyclonic influence. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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