Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 Vol.
$65,438 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 Vol.
$65,438 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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