Marine layer advection from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 66°F for July 7 amid gradual afternoon clearing. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on the 64–67°F bins, reflecting model agreement on onshore flow and stratus persistence that limits daytime heating. Key variables differentiating outcomes include marine layer depth and wind speeds, which control how much solar radiation reaches the surface before any late-day clearing; stronger or thicker layers favor the lower 64–65°F range, while quicker erosion could push readings into the upper 60s. Typical July climatology of 67°F highs provides context, yet the current pattern aligns with cooler coastal conditions observed in recent days. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 7?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$63,561 Vol.
$63,561 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$63,561 Vol.
$63,561 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
53°F or below
$2,008 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$2,200 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,395 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,039 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$9,857 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$6,495 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$12,826 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$11,934 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,250 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,725 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$2,833 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer advection from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 66°F for July 7 amid gradual afternoon clearing. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on the 64–67°F bins, reflecting model agreement on onshore flow and stratus persistence that limits daytime heating. Key variables differentiating outcomes include marine layer depth and wind speeds, which control how much solar radiation reaches the surface before any late-day clearing; stronger or thicker layers favor the lower 64–65°F range, while quicker erosion could push readings into the upper 60s. Typical July climatology of 67°F highs provides context, yet the current pattern aligns with cooler coastal conditions observed in recent days. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$63,561Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer advection from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 66°F for July 7 amid gradual afternoon clearing. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on the 64–67°F bins, reflecting model agreement on onshore flow and stratus persistence that limits daytime heating. Key variables differentiating outcomes include marine layer depth and wind speeds, which control how much solar radiation reaches the surface before any late-day clearing; stronger or thicker layers favor the lower 64–65°F range, while quicker erosion could push readings into the upper 60s. Typical July climatology of 67°F highs provides context, yet the current pattern aligns with cooler coastal conditions observed in recent days. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,561Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Marine layer advection from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 66°F for July 7 amid gradual afternoon clearing. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on the 64–67°F bins, reflecting model agreement on onshore flow and stratus persistence that limits daytime heating. Key variables differentiating outcomes include marine layer depth and wind speeds, which control how much solar radiation reaches the surface before any late-day clearing; stronger or thicker layers favor the lower 64–65°F range, while quicker erosion could push readings into the upper 60s. Typical July climatology of 67°F highs provides context, yet the current pattern aligns with cooler coastal conditions observed in recent days. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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