National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on July 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 16?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$58,376 Vol.
$58,376 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$58,376 Vol.
$58,376 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
81°F or below
$4,463 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,142 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,395 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,274 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$8,089 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$8,006 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,819 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$4,680 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,767 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$5,048 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$2,693 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$58,376Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,376Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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