Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 99°F in Denver on July 19 under mostly sunny skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins. A multi-day heat wave featuring 90s readings, low humidity, and light winds has elevated baseline temperatures, while model consensus (GFS and ECMWF) shows limited spread around peak afternoon heating at 5,280 ft elevation. Minor uncertainties arise from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum that could trim or add a degree or two. Historical July highs average near 89°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly; traders are weighting official forecast products most heavily ahead of the final NWS evening update.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on July 19?
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 39%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 7%
$32,002 Vol.
$32,002 Vol.
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 39%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 7%
$32,002 Vol.
$32,002 Vol.
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 99°F in Denver on July 19 under mostly sunny skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins. A multi-day heat wave featuring 90s readings, low humidity, and light winds has elevated baseline temperatures, while model consensus (GFS and ECMWF) shows limited spread around peak afternoon heating at 5,280 ft elevation. Minor uncertainties arise from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum that could trim or add a degree or two. Historical July highs average near 89°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly; traders are weighting official forecast products most heavily ahead of the final NWS evening update.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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