Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 9 project a high near 84°F under mostly sunny skies with isolated thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 45% implied probability. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest moderation from recent 90-94°F readings, driven by northeast winds and partial cloud cover that limit afternoon heating. Historical climatology places the Sept 9 average high at 81.5°F, providing context for why 80-85°F bins dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key data points that could shift probabilities before official observations finalize the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on September 9?
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 6%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 6%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 9 project a high near 84°F under mostly sunny skies with isolated thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 45% implied probability. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest moderation from recent 90-94°F readings, driven by northeast winds and partial cloud cover that limit afternoon heating. Historical climatology places the Sept 9 average high at 81.5°F, providing context for why 80-85°F bins dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key data points that could shift probabilities before official observations finalize the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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