**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models positions 23°C as the most probable high for Jinan on September 8, 2026, driving the 85.5% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds at 5–13 mph are limiting daytime heating, keeping temperatures below recent early-September averages near 27°C. Official guidance and ensemble runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, show a narrow range centered on 22–25°C, with minimal upward revision expected given stable atmospheric conditions and light precipitation chances. Historical September baselines and current model agreement reinforce trader focus on the lower end of this window, though any unexpected clearing could shift probabilities toward 24–25°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on September 8?
23°C 85%
24°C 10%
25°C 8%
26°C or higher 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
77%
24°C
10%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 85%
24°C 10%
25°C 8%
26°C or higher 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
77%
24°C
10%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models positions 23°C as the most probable high for Jinan on September 8, 2026, driving the 85.5% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds at 5–13 mph are limiting daytime heating, keeping temperatures below recent early-September averages near 27°C. Official guidance and ensemble runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, show a narrow range centered on 22–25°C, with minimal upward revision expected given stable atmospheric conditions and light precipitation chances. Historical September baselines and current model agreement reinforce trader focus on the lower end of this window, though any unexpected clearing could shift probabilities toward 24–25°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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