Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 Vol.
$122,208 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 Vol.
$122,208 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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