**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 21, driven by the active southwest monsoon producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of about 32°C. An ongoing moderate-to-strong El Niño provides a warmer baseline across the western Pacific but is currently outweighed by the monsoon’s cloud and precipitation effects. Official outlooks show 25–32°C or 25–33°C ranges with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (40.5%) followed by 33°C and 31°C. Short-term model consensus and the absence of clearing trends reinforce this positioning ahead of final 24-hour updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 21?
32°C 40%
33°C 27%
31°C 25%
34°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
25%
32°C
40%
33°C
27%
34°C
10%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 27%
31°C 25%
34°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
$152 Vol.
2%
29°C
$130 Vol.
4%
30°C
$96 Vol.
5%
31°C
$997 Vol.
25%
32°C
$370 Vol.
40%
33°C
$525 Vol.
27%
34°C
$255 Vol.
10%
35°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 21, driven by the active southwest monsoon producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of about 32°C. An ongoing moderate-to-strong El Niño provides a warmer baseline across the western Pacific but is currently outweighed by the monsoon’s cloud and precipitation effects. Official outlooks show 25–32°C or 25–33°C ranges with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (40.5%) followed by 33°C and 31°C. Short-term model consensus and the absence of clearing trends reinforce this positioning ahead of final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$2,752Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 21, driven by the active southwest monsoon producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of about 32°C. An ongoing moderate-to-strong El Niño provides a warmer baseline across the western Pacific but is currently outweighed by the monsoon’s cloud and precipitation effects. Official outlooks show 25–32°C or 25–33°C ranges with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (40.5%) followed by 33°C and 31°C. Short-term model consensus and the absence of clearing trends reinforce this positioning ahead of final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,752Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 21, driven by the active southwest monsoon producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of about 32°C. An ongoing moderate-to-strong El Niño provides a warmer baseline across the western Pacific but is currently outweighed by the monsoon’s cloud and precipitation effects. Official outlooks show 25–32°C or 25–33°C ranges with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (40.5%) followed by 33°C and 31°C. Short-term model consensus and the absence of clearing trends reinforce this positioning ahead of final 24-hour updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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