Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD runs positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s September 8 maximum, driven by clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure yielding afternoon peaks near 30–32°C (86–90°F) under low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent 24-hour updates show stable high-pressure conditions delaying a frontal passage until September 9, with ensemble spreads narrowing around this range and minimal overnight cooling. Historical September 8 records top out at 29.6°C, underscoring the anomalous late-summer warmth, while trader-implied odds reflect confidence in these deterministic forecasts absent significant model divergence or unexpected convective development.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
32°C 57%
31°C 23%
33°C 17.1%
30°C 4%
$21,251 Vol.
$21,251 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
23%
32°C
57%
33°C
17%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 23%
33°C 17.1%
30°C 4%
$21,251 Vol.
$21,251 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
23%
32°C
57%
33°C
17%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD runs positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s September 8 maximum, driven by clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure yielding afternoon peaks near 30–32°C (86–90°F) under low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent 24-hour updates show stable high-pressure conditions delaying a frontal passage until September 9, with ensemble spreads narrowing around this range and minimal overnight cooling. Historical September 8 records top out at 29.6°C, underscoring the anomalous late-summer warmth, while trader-implied odds reflect confidence in these deterministic forecasts absent significant model divergence or unexpected convective development.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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