Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 Vol.
$244,084 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 Vol.
$244,084 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
$46,749 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$83,766 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$42,086 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$21,177 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$17,579 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,106 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$8,425 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$4,523 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,887 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,838 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$2,949 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$244,084Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$244,084Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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