Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on July 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 19?
24°C 56%
25°C 25%
23°C 18.3%
26°C 3.1%
$34,462 Vol.
$34,462 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
56%
25°C
25%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 25%
23°C 18.3%
26°C 3.1%
$34,462 Vol.
$34,462 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
$577 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,426 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,894 Vol.
18%
24°C
$5,969 Vol.
56%
25°C
$7,133 Vol.
25%
26°C
$3,056 Vol.
3%
27°C
$5,049 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,773 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,879 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$34,462Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,462Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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