Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,131 Vol.
$76,131 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,131 Vol.
$76,131 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
21°C or below
$318 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,237 Vol.
No
23°C
$17,644 Vol.
No
24°C
$20,693 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$13,503 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,508 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,728 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,998 Vol.
No
29°C
$876 Vol.
No
30°C
$355 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$271 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$76,131Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,131Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan