Current Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Thursday high near 25–26 °C for Toronto, with a 20–40 % chance of showers and variable southwest winds that could limit afternoon solar heating. This tight consensus explains why market-implied odds cluster on 25 °C (35 %) and 26 °C (34.5 %), while lower or higher outcomes remain under 7 %. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture that influences the diurnal temperature range, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical late-August normals of about 25 °C, recognizing that even small shifts in the 12–18 UTC window can decide resolution between the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
23°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
9%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
4%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
23°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$11 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$1 Vol.
9%
25°C
$2 Vol.
35%
26°C
$15 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$26 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Thursday high near 25–26 °C for Toronto, with a 20–40 % chance of showers and variable southwest winds that could limit afternoon solar heating. This tight consensus explains why market-implied odds cluster on 25 °C (35 %) and 26 °C (34.5 %), while lower or higher outcomes remain under 7 %. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture that influences the diurnal temperature range, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical late-August normals of about 25 °C, recognizing that even small shifts in the 12–18 UTC window can decide resolution between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$60Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Thursday high near 25–26 °C for Toronto, with a 20–40 % chance of showers and variable southwest winds that could limit afternoon solar heating. This tight consensus explains why market-implied odds cluster on 25 °C (35 %) and 26 °C (34.5 %), while lower or higher outcomes remain under 7 %. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture that influences the diurnal temperature range, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical late-August normals of about 25 °C, recognizing that even small shifts in the 12–18 UTC window can decide resolution between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Thursday high near 25–26 °C for Toronto, with a 20–40 % chance of showers and variable southwest winds that could limit afternoon solar heating. This tight consensus explains why market-implied odds cluster on 25 °C (35 %) and 26 °C (34.5 %), while lower or higher outcomes remain under 7 %. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture that influences the diurnal temperature range, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical late-August normals of about 25 °C, recognizing that even small shifts in the 12–18 UTC window can decide resolution between the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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