Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Environment Canada guidance, place Toronto’s overnight low near 14°C for August 26, producing near-even market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes amid model spread. Variable cloud cover and any showers will modulate nocturnal radiative cooling rates, while boundary-layer winds and the urban heat-island effect determine how far temperatures fall below the seasonal climatological baseline of 15–17°C. Recent warm, thundery conditions through late August have kept surface fluxes elevated, yet any frontal passage or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum several degrees in either direction. Additional model updates and real-time observations through the night will refine the distribution ahead of official resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 26?
19°C or higher 82%
9°C or below 79%
12°C 49%
10°C 42%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
79%
10°C
42%
11°C
40%
12°C
49%
13°C
22%
14°C
19%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
21%
19°C or higher
82%
19°C or higher 82%
9°C or below 79%
12°C 49%
10°C 42%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
$130 Vol.
79%
10°C
$5 Vol.
42%
11°C
$5 Vol.
40%
12°C
$5 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Environment Canada guidance, place Toronto’s overnight low near 14°C for August 26, producing near-even market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes amid model spread. Variable cloud cover and any showers will modulate nocturnal radiative cooling rates, while boundary-layer winds and the urban heat-island effect determine how far temperatures fall below the seasonal climatological baseline of 15–17°C. Recent warm, thundery conditions through late August have kept surface fluxes elevated, yet any frontal passage or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum several degrees in either direction. Additional model updates and real-time observations through the night will refine the distribution ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$150Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Environment Canada guidance, place Toronto’s overnight low near 14°C for August 26, producing near-even market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes amid model spread. Variable cloud cover and any showers will modulate nocturnal radiative cooling rates, while boundary-layer winds and the urban heat-island effect determine how far temperatures fall below the seasonal climatological baseline of 15–17°C. Recent warm, thundery conditions through late August have kept surface fluxes elevated, yet any frontal passage or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum several degrees in either direction. Additional model updates and real-time observations through the night will refine the distribution ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Environment Canada guidance, place Toronto’s overnight low near 14°C for August 26, producing near-even market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes amid model spread. Variable cloud cover and any showers will modulate nocturnal radiative cooling rates, while boundary-layer winds and the urban heat-island effect determine how far temperatures fall below the seasonal climatological baseline of 15–17°C. Recent warm, thundery conditions through late August have kept surface fluxes elevated, yet any frontal passage or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum several degrees in either direction. Additional model updates and real-time observations through the night will refine the distribution ahead of official resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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