Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on July 31?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 31?
29°C 35%
30°C 27%
28°C 19%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
35%
30°C
27%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
2%
29°C 35%
30°C 27%
28°C 19%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
26°C or below
$140 Vol.
3%
27°C
$99 Vol.
3%
28°C
$169 Vol.
19%
29°C
$5 Vol.
35%
30°C
$108 Vol.
27%
31°C
$215 Vol.
9%
32°C
$121 Vol.
5%
33°C
$25 Vol.
1%
34°C
$15 Vol.
2%
35°C
$285 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,198Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,198Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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