Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on May 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$106,479 Vol.
$106,479 Vol.
May 12, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$106,479 Vol.
$106,479 Vol.
May 12, 2026
9°C or below
$1,416 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,545 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,280 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,644 Vol.
No
13°C
$22,392 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,154 Vol.
No
15°C
$35,201 Vol.
No
16°C
$10,768 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$8,950 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,519 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$4,611 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$106,479Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,479Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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