**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 11?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,546 Vol.
$10,546 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,546 Vol.
$10,546 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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