Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Atlanta on August 26 point to overnight lows near 70–72°F under southeasterly flow and 40–50% thunderstorm chances, consistent with climatological August minima around 70°F. These conditions support trader emphasis on the 66–67°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting possible convective cooling, increased cloud cover, or minor model spread that could shave a few degrees below the consensus forecast. Higher-probability bins clustered around 72–75°F capture the baseline guidance, while probabilities drop sharply below 64°F or above 76°F given limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Atlanta on August 26?
72-73°F 52%
74-75°F 51%
70-71°F 27%
64-65°F 14%
63°F or below
12%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
4%
72-73°F 52%
74-75°F 51%
70-71°F 27%
64-65°F 14%
63°F or below
12%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Atlanta on August 26 point to overnight lows near 70–72°F under southeasterly flow and 40–50% thunderstorm chances, consistent with climatological August minima around 70°F. These conditions support trader emphasis on the 66–67°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting possible convective cooling, increased cloud cover, or minor model spread that could shave a few degrees below the consensus forecast. Higher-probability bins clustered around 72–75°F capture the baseline guidance, while probabilities drop sharply below 64°F or above 76°F given limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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