**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and high humidity from a regional weather pattern have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, driving consensus toward a 19°C daily minimum in Chongqing on September 17.** Current observations and short-range model runs from agencies like the Chongqing Meteorological Station show temperatures holding near 20–23°C through the evening, with dew points close to air temperatures and light winds preventing sharper drops. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions under autumn rain influence, where minima rarely fall below the low 20s without clear skies. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C reflects real-time integration of these data and the narrow resolution window. Uncertainties remain around precise station readings or localized clearing that could allow a 1–2°C further dip before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,367 Vol.
$1,367 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,367 Vol.
$1,367 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and high humidity from a regional weather pattern have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, driving consensus toward a 19°C daily minimum in Chongqing on September 17.** Current observations and short-range model runs from agencies like the Chongqing Meteorological Station show temperatures holding near 20–23°C through the evening, with dew points close to air temperatures and light winds preventing sharper drops. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions under autumn rain influence, where minima rarely fall below the low 20s without clear skies. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C reflects real-time integration of these data and the narrow resolution window. Uncertainties remain around precise station readings or localized clearing that could allow a 1–2°C further dip before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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