Strong market consensus on a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan reflects current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies showing typical late-August overnight conditions, with minimal cooling from atmospheric circulation or frontal systems. Seasonal climatology for the Shandong region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and lows rarely falling below 22°C under stable, humid summer patterns, consistent with historical observational baselines. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs indicating persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling overnight. This positioning could shift only with an unexpected cold-air intrusion or revised observational data near resolution, though such developments remain low-probability given the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
22°C or higher 99%
21°C 5.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
21°C 5.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$19 Vol.
1%
19°C
$17 Vol.
1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
1%
21°C
$63 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$353 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus on a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan reflects current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies showing typical late-August overnight conditions, with minimal cooling from atmospheric circulation or frontal systems. Seasonal climatology for the Shandong region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and lows rarely falling below 22°C under stable, humid summer patterns, consistent with historical observational baselines. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs indicating persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling overnight. This positioning could shift only with an unexpected cold-air intrusion or revised observational data near resolution, though such developments remain low-probability given the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$648Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus on a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan reflects current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies showing typical late-August overnight conditions, with minimal cooling from atmospheric circulation or frontal systems. Seasonal climatology for the Shandong region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and lows rarely falling below 22°C under stable, humid summer patterns, consistent with historical observational baselines. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs indicating persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling overnight. This positioning could shift only with an unexpected cold-air intrusion or revised observational data near resolution, though such developments remain low-probability given the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$648Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong market consensus on a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan reflects current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies showing typical late-August overnight conditions, with minimal cooling from atmospheric circulation or frontal systems. Seasonal climatology for the Shandong region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and lows rarely falling below 22°C under stable, humid summer patterns, consistent with historical observational baselines. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs indicating persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling overnight. This positioning could shift only with an unexpected cold-air intrusion or revised observational data near resolution, though such developments remain low-probability given the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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