Current forecast consensus from regional models indicates Karachi's September 24 minimum will likely fall near 26–27°C, consistent with late-monsoon climatology after a recent heat spell driven by a stalled low-pressure system. The Pakistan Meteorological Department notes the low has dissipated, allowing sea breezes from the Arabian Sea to resume and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased humidity and moderate westerly winds. This transitional period creates forecast spread, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or residual moisture can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price balanced odds across bins because historical September lows range 24–28°C, with official verification depending on precise station measurements amid urban heat-island effects. Updated PMD guidance and next model runs will likely refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Karachi on September 24?
32°C or higher 93%
22°C or below 91%
28°C 48%
23°C 38%
22°C or below
91%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
48%
29°C
8%
30°C
38%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
93%
32°C or higher 93%
22°C or below 91%
28°C 48%
23°C 38%
22°C or below
91%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
48%
29°C
8%
30°C
38%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models indicates Karachi's September 24 minimum will likely fall near 26–27°C, consistent with late-monsoon climatology after a recent heat spell driven by a stalled low-pressure system. The Pakistan Meteorological Department notes the low has dissipated, allowing sea breezes from the Arabian Sea to resume and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased humidity and moderate westerly winds. This transitional period creates forecast spread, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or residual moisture can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price balanced odds across bins because historical September lows range 24–28°C, with official verification depending on precise station measurements amid urban heat-island effects. Updated PMD guidance and next model runs will likely refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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