Mild southerly airflow under high pressure is keeping London's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official Met Office and European model guidance pointing to lows of 14–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 6. Light winds and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 12°C further support this range rather than sharper drops toward the climatological average low of about 12°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these values, reinforcing trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Updated forecasts later today could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 62%
14°C 24%
16°C 14%
13°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
24%
15°C
62%
16°C
11%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 62%
14°C 24%
16°C 14%
13°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$50 Vol.
1%
12°C
$198 Vol.
1%
13°C
$326 Vol.
3%
14°C
$1,861 Vol.
24%
15°C
$1,325 Vol.
62%
16°C
$1,489 Vol.
11%
17°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$70 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild southerly airflow under high pressure is keeping London's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official Met Office and European model guidance pointing to lows of 14–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 6. Light winds and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 12°C further support this range rather than sharper drops toward the climatological average low of about 12°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these values, reinforcing trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Updated forecasts later today could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,593Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild southerly airflow under high pressure is keeping London's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official Met Office and European model guidance pointing to lows of 14–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 6. Light winds and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 12°C further support this range rather than sharper drops toward the climatological average low of about 12°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these values, reinforcing trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Updated forecasts later today could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,593Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mild southerly airflow under high pressure is keeping London's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official Met Office and European model guidance pointing to lows of 14–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 6. Light winds and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 12°C further support this range rather than sharper drops toward the climatological average low of about 12°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these values, reinforcing trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Updated forecasts later today could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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