Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s minimum temperature on August 26, 2026, could reach 9–12°C amid the city’s highland subtropical climate at roughly 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies during the rainy season often produces the day’s low before sunrise. Recent observations show overnight lows near 12–13°C on preceding days, with some localized readings dipping to 8–9°C in western boroughs, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability for 9°C or below. Cloud cover, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from afternoon convection further limit warming, while historical August averages hover near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on diurnal temperature ranges remain key variables that could shift outcomes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
9°C or below 90%
10°C 42%
11°C 31%
12°C 31%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
90%
10°C
42%
11°C
31%
12°C
31%
13°C
26%
14°C
31%
15°C
31%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 90%
10°C 42%
11°C 31%
12°C 31%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
90%
10°C
$31 Vol.
42%
11°C
$0 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$893 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s minimum temperature on August 26, 2026, could reach 9–12°C amid the city’s highland subtropical climate at roughly 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies during the rainy season often produces the day’s low before sunrise. Recent observations show overnight lows near 12–13°C on preceding days, with some localized readings dipping to 8–9°C in western boroughs, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability for 9°C or below. Cloud cover, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from afternoon convection further limit warming, while historical August averages hover near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on diurnal temperature ranges remain key variables that could shift outcomes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,311Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s minimum temperature on August 26, 2026, could reach 9–12°C amid the city’s highland subtropical climate at roughly 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies during the rainy season often produces the day’s low before sunrise. Recent observations show overnight lows near 12–13°C on preceding days, with some localized readings dipping to 8–9°C in western boroughs, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability for 9°C or below. Cloud cover, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from afternoon convection further limit warming, while historical August averages hover near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on diurnal temperature ranges remain key variables that could shift outcomes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,311Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s minimum temperature on August 26, 2026, could reach 9–12°C amid the city’s highland subtropical climate at roughly 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies during the rainy season often produces the day’s low before sunrise. Recent observations show overnight lows near 12–13°C on preceding days, with some localized readings dipping to 8–9°C in western boroughs, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability for 9°C or below. Cloud cover, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from afternoon convection further limit warming, while historical August averages hover near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on diurnal temperature ranges remain key variables that could shift outcomes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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