Recent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy has produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 17–19°C according to ECMWF and local model consensus. This places the expected minimum modestly above Milan’s long-term September average of roughly 14–16°C, with urban heat retention at Linate airport further moderating the reading. Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C reflects residual ensemble spread in minimum timing and any late-evening cloud increases, while probabilities below 11°C remain discounted absent a sharper cold-air intrusion. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Italian meteorological service.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
13°C 97%
10°C or below 88%
15°C 47%
14°C 46%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
88%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
97%
14°C
46%
15°C
47%
16°C
51%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 97%
10°C or below 88%
15°C 47%
14°C 46%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
97%
14°C
$68 Vol.
46%
15°C
$46 Vol.
47%
16°C
$54 Vol.
51%
17°C
$1,296 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy has produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 17–19°C according to ECMWF and local model consensus. This places the expected minimum modestly above Milan’s long-term September average of roughly 14–16°C, with urban heat retention at Linate airport further moderating the reading. Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C reflects residual ensemble spread in minimum timing and any late-evening cloud increases, while probabilities below 11°C remain discounted absent a sharper cold-air intrusion. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Italian meteorological service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,484Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy has produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 17–19°C according to ECMWF and local model consensus. This places the expected minimum modestly above Milan’s long-term September average of roughly 14–16°C, with urban heat retention at Linate airport further moderating the reading. Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C reflects residual ensemble spread in minimum timing and any late-evening cloud increases, while probabilities below 11°C remain discounted absent a sharper cold-air intrusion. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Italian meteorological service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,484Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy has produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 17–19°C according to ECMWF and local model consensus. This places the expected minimum modestly above Milan’s long-term September average of roughly 14–16°C, with urban heat retention at Linate airport further moderating the reading. Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C reflects residual ensemble spread in minimum timing and any late-evening cloud increases, while probabilities below 11°C remain discounted absent a sharper cold-air intrusion. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Italian meteorological service.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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