Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds. Overnight cooling from September 19’s 17–18°C readings, combined with clear conditions and moderate humidity, supports this range, which sits above the long-term average low of 11.1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 13–15°C because ensemble outputs show limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk from slightly stronger radiational cooling or upside from lingering cloud cover. No significant frontal passages or model divergences have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 20?
14°C 49%
15°C 23%
13°C 19%
12°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
26%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 49%
15°C 23%
13°C 19%
12°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
11°C
$50 Vol.
4%
12°C
$77 Vol.
6%
13°C
$768 Vol.
25%
14°C
$2,759 Vol.
49%
15°C
$1,633 Vol.
26%
16°C
$187 Vol.
3%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$41 Vol.
1%
19°C
$41 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds. Overnight cooling from September 19’s 17–18°C readings, combined with clear conditions and moderate humidity, supports this range, which sits above the long-term average low of 11.1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 13–15°C because ensemble outputs show limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk from slightly stronger radiational cooling or upside from lingering cloud cover. No significant frontal passages or model divergences have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,627Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds. Overnight cooling from September 19’s 17–18°C readings, combined with clear conditions and moderate humidity, supports this range, which sits above the long-term average low of 11.1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 13–15°C because ensemble outputs show limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk from slightly stronger radiational cooling or upside from lingering cloud cover. No significant frontal passages or model divergences have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,627Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds. Overnight cooling from September 19’s 17–18°C readings, combined with clear conditions and moderate humidity, supports this range, which sits above the long-term average low of 11.1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 13–15°C because ensemble outputs show limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk from slightly stronger radiational cooling or upside from lingering cloud cover. No significant frontal passages or model divergences have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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