Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on June 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 20?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 Vol.
$16,299 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 Vol.
$16,299 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
17°C or below
$873 Vol.
No
18°C
$927 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,326 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,439 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,336 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$1,772 Vol.
No
23°C
$611 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,282 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,236 Vol.
No
26°C
$914 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$582 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,299Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,299Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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