**Forecast models indicate thunderstorms and increased cloud cover on September 21 will be the main driver of trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s daily minimum temperature.** Light winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and potential rain reduce nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25-26°C rather than sharper drops. Clear spells could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or below, while persistent cloud or showers may hold lows near 26°C. These closely matched probabilities around 45-55% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of convection ahead of official station readings. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 24-25°C under similar subtropical patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
22°C or below 96%
25°C 51%
26°C 50%
23°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
96%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
51%
26°C
50%
27°C
42%
28°C
47%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 96%
25°C 51%
26°C 50%
23°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
96%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
51%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$20 Vol.
42%
28°C
$10 Vol.
47%
29°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate thunderstorms and increased cloud cover on September 21 will be the main driver of trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s daily minimum temperature.** Light winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and potential rain reduce nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25-26°C rather than sharper drops. Clear spells could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or below, while persistent cloud or showers may hold lows near 26°C. These closely matched probabilities around 45-55% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of convection ahead of official station readings. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 24-25°C under similar subtropical patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate thunderstorms and increased cloud cover on September 21 will be the main driver of trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s daily minimum temperature.** Light winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and potential rain reduce nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25-26°C rather than sharper drops. Clear spells could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or below, while persistent cloud or showers may hold lows near 26°C. These closely matched probabilities around 45-55% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of convection ahead of official station readings. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 24-25°C under similar subtropical patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate thunderstorms and increased cloud cover on September 21 will be the main driver of trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s daily minimum temperature.** Light winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and potential rain reduce nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25-26°C rather than sharper drops. Clear spells could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or below, while persistent cloud or showers may hold lows near 26°C. These closely matched probabilities around 45-55% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of convection ahead of official station readings. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 24-25°C under similar subtropical patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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