Recent forecast consensus from models including those aligned with Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a minimum temperature near 22–23°C in Taipei on September 22, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and dew points in the low 20s that limit further cooling under subtropical high pressure. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling is modest amid high humidity. The closely matched market odds around 22–23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require stronger cold advection or unexpected cloud cover changes. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine overnight lows before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on September 22?
24°C 40%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
34%
24°C 40%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including those aligned with Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a minimum temperature near 22–23°C in Taipei on September 22, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and dew points in the low 20s that limit further cooling under subtropical high pressure. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling is modest amid high humidity. The closely matched market odds around 22–23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require stronger cold advection or unexpected cloud cover changes. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine overnight lows before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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