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icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Ekonomi·PDB

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Ekonomi·PDB

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Oct 30

Oct 30

2.0-2.5% 33%

1.5-2.0% 30%

2.5-3.0% 19%

1.0-1.5% 14.4%

Polymarket

$35,160 Vol.

2.0-2.5% 33%

1.5-2.0% 30%

2.5-3.0% 19%

1.0-1.5% 14.4%

Polymarket

$35,160 Vol.

<0.5%

$925 Vol.

4%

0.5-1.0%

$721 Vol.

1%

1.0-1.5%

$4,037 Vol.

14%

1.5-2.0%

$12,208 Vol.

30%

2.0-2.5%

$13,729 Vol.

33%

2.5-3.0%

$1,929 Vol.

19%

3.0-3.5%

$800 Vol.

2%

3.5%+

$811 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound to 1.4% quarter-over-quarter and 2.1% year-over-year, following a Q1 contraction, anchors trader expectations for moderate Q3 expansion near 1.5-2.5% year-over-year. Weak domestic demand, subdued private investment amid USMCA review uncertainty, and a softening labor market with unemployment near 2.8% limit upside momentum despite resilient exports and nearshoring support. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.5% reflects easing headline inflation to around 3.2% alongside persistent core pressures. Government and private forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 1.0% and 2.0%, underscoring downside risks from external demand and policy volatility ahead of the October 30 timely GDP release.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,160
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound to 1.4% quarter-over-quarter and 2.1% year-over-year, following a Q1 contraction, anchors trader expectations for moderate Q3 expansion near 1.5-2.5% year-over-year. Weak domestic demand, subdued private investment amid USMCA review uncertainty, and a softening labor market with unemployment near 2.8% limit upside momentum despite resilient exports and nearshoring support. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.5% reflects easing headline inflation to around 3.2% alongside persistent core pressures. Government and private forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 1.0% and 2.0%, underscoring downside risks from external demand and policy volatility ahead of the October 30 timely GDP release.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,160
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "2.0-2.5%" di 33%, diikuti oleh "1.5-2.0%" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 33¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 33% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?" telah menghasilkan $35.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 31, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?" adalah "2.0-2.5%" di 33%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 33% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "1.5-2.0%" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.