Eurozone trader sentiment for 2026 annual GDP growth centers on the 0-1.0% outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB staff’s September 2026 baseline projection of 0.9% real GDP expansion, revised modestly higher from June. Recent Q2 data showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth, supported by net exports and AI-related demand, though the Middle East conflict has lifted energy prices and pushed HICP inflation toward a projected 3.0% average for the year. The ECB’s latest 25-basis-point rate hike underscores persistent price pressures, while labor market stability near 6.3% unemployment and contained second-round effects limit downside risks to activity. Market-implied odds thus price in subdued expansion amid geopolitical and monetary headwinds, with the 1.0-2.0% bin at 35% capturing scope for modest upside from stronger foreign demand. Key near-term catalysts include October GDP releases and further ECB communications on the energy shock.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 62.5%
1.0-2.0% 35%
<0% 3.0%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$50,441 Vol.
$50,441 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
63%
1.0-2.0%
35%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 62.5%
1.0-2.0% 35%
<0% 3.0%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$50,441 Vol.
$50,441 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
$2,837 Vol.
3%
0-1.0%
$16,035 Vol.
63%
1.0-2.0%
$14,814 Vol.
35%
2.0-3.0%
$2,308 Vol.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$2,212 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$3,338 Vol.
<1%
5.0-6.0%
$2,290 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$3,762 Vol.
<1%
7.0%+
$2,844 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone trader sentiment for 2026 annual GDP growth centers on the 0-1.0% outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB staff’s September 2026 baseline projection of 0.9% real GDP expansion, revised modestly higher from June. Recent Q2 data showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth, supported by net exports and AI-related demand, though the Middle East conflict has lifted energy prices and pushed HICP inflation toward a projected 3.0% average for the year. The ECB’s latest 25-basis-point rate hike underscores persistent price pressures, while labor market stability near 6.3% unemployment and contained second-round effects limit downside risks to activity. Market-implied odds thus price in subdued expansion amid geopolitical and monetary headwinds, with the 1.0-2.0% bin at 35% capturing scope for modest upside from stronger foreign demand. Key near-term catalysts include October GDP releases and further ECB communications on the energy shock.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volume
$50,441Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone trader sentiment for 2026 annual GDP growth centers on the 0-1.0% outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB staff’s September 2026 baseline projection of 0.9% real GDP expansion, revised modestly higher from June. Recent Q2 data showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth, supported by net exports and AI-related demand, though the Middle East conflict has lifted energy prices and pushed HICP inflation toward a projected 3.0% average for the year. The ECB’s latest 25-basis-point rate hike underscores persistent price pressures, while labor market stability near 6.3% unemployment and contained second-round effects limit downside risks to activity. Market-implied odds thus price in subdued expansion amid geopolitical and monetary headwinds, with the 1.0-2.0% bin at 35% capturing scope for modest upside from stronger foreign demand. Key near-term catalysts include October GDP releases and further ECB communications on the energy shock.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,441Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone trader sentiment for 2026 annual GDP growth centers on the 0-1.0% outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB staff’s September 2026 baseline projection of 0.9% real GDP expansion, revised modestly higher from June. Recent Q2 data showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth, supported by net exports and AI-related demand, though the Middle East conflict has lifted energy prices and pushed HICP inflation toward a projected 3.0% average for the year. The ECB’s latest 25-basis-point rate hike underscores persistent price pressures, while labor market stability near 6.3% unemployment and contained second-round effects limit downside risks to activity. Market-implied odds thus price in subdued expansion amid geopolitical and monetary headwinds, with the 1.0-2.0% bin at 35% capturing scope for modest upside from stronger foreign demand. Key near-term catalysts include October GDP releases and further ECB communications on the energy shock.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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