Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, below consensus of 55.2 and down from July’s 55.6 peak, anchors trader positioning for the September release. The reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion yet showed notable cooling in new orders (53.7) and backlogs (51.8), while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2. Elevated prices paid at 71.1 reflect ongoing input-cost pressures from tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related energy volatility, offset by AI-related demand. With outcomes clustered around 50–53.9 and meaningful probability on 56+, markets price in continued moderate growth tempered by these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui51.0 to 51.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 26%
56.0 to 56.9 26%
53.0 to 53.9 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
6%
50.0 to 50.9
23%
51.0 to 51.9
26%
52.0 to 52.9
14%
53.0 to 53.9
24%
54.0 to 54.9
17%
55.0 to 55.9
26%
56.0 to 56.9
26%
57.0 to 57.9
23%
58.0+
6%
51.0 to 51.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 26%
56.0 to 56.9 26%
53.0 to 53.9 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
$160 Vol.
6%
50.0 to 50.9
$17 Vol.
23%
51.0 to 51.9
$17 Vol.
26%
52.0 to 52.9
$34 Vol.
14%
53.0 to 53.9
$18 Vol.
24%
54.0 to 54.9
$16 Vol.
17%
55.0 to 55.9
$32 Vol.
26%
56.0 to 56.9
$18 Vol.
26%
57.0 to 57.9
$17 Vol.
23%
58.0+
$26 Vol.
6%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, below consensus of 55.2 and down from July’s 55.6 peak, anchors trader positioning for the September release. The reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion yet showed notable cooling in new orders (53.7) and backlogs (51.8), while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2. Elevated prices paid at 71.1 reflect ongoing input-cost pressures from tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related energy volatility, offset by AI-related demand. With outcomes clustered around 50–53.9 and meaningful probability on 56+, markets price in continued moderate growth tempered by these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$354Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, below consensus of 55.2 and down from July’s 55.6 peak, anchors trader positioning for the September release. The reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion yet showed notable cooling in new orders (53.7) and backlogs (51.8), while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2. Elevated prices paid at 71.1 reflect ongoing input-cost pressures from tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related energy volatility, offset by AI-related demand. With outcomes clustered around 50–53.9 and meaningful probability on 56+, markets price in continued moderate growth tempered by these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$354Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, below consensus of 55.2 and down from July’s 55.6 peak, anchors trader positioning for the September release. The reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion yet showed notable cooling in new orders (53.7) and backlogs (51.8), while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2. Elevated prices paid at 71.1 reflect ongoing input-cost pressures from tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related energy volatility, offset by AI-related demand. With outcomes clustered around 50–53.9 and meaningful probability on 56+, markets price in continued moderate growth tempered by these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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