Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly headline gain matching consensus alongside a slightly firmer 0.3% core print, with gasoline prices surging 3.9% and energy contributing over one-third of the increase amid geopolitical tensions. This backdrop, combined with University of Michigan one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%, supports trader focus on whether September’s reading repeats the 0.4% pace or edges to 0.5% as energy effects linger. The near-even 29.5% and 28.5% implied probabilities on those two outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of shelter moderation, potential goods-price rebounds, and seasonal factors ahead of the October 14 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.4% 30%
0.5% 30%
0.6% 20%
0.7% 12%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
30%
0.5%
30%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
12%
≥0.8%
5%
0.4% 30%
0.5% 30%
0.6% 20%
0.7% 12%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$117 Vol.
3%
0.1%
$110 Vol.
5%
0.2%
$149 Vol.
9%
0.3%
$150 Vol.
5%
0.4%
$686 Vol.
30%
0.5%
$1,025 Vol.
30%
0.6%
$149 Vol.
20%
0.7%
$130 Vol.
12%
≥0.8%
$746 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly headline gain matching consensus alongside a slightly firmer 0.3% core print, with gasoline prices surging 3.9% and energy contributing over one-third of the increase amid geopolitical tensions. This backdrop, combined with University of Michigan one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%, supports trader focus on whether September’s reading repeats the 0.4% pace or edges to 0.5% as energy effects linger. The near-even 29.5% and 28.5% implied probabilities on those two outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of shelter moderation, potential goods-price rebounds, and seasonal factors ahead of the October 14 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,261Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly headline gain matching consensus alongside a slightly firmer 0.3% core print, with gasoline prices surging 3.9% and energy contributing over one-third of the increase amid geopolitical tensions. This backdrop, combined with University of Michigan one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%, supports trader focus on whether September’s reading repeats the 0.4% pace or edges to 0.5% as energy effects linger. The near-even 29.5% and 28.5% implied probabilities on those two outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of shelter moderation, potential goods-price rebounds, and seasonal factors ahead of the October 14 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,261Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly headline gain matching consensus alongside a slightly firmer 0.3% core print, with gasoline prices surging 3.9% and energy contributing over one-third of the increase amid geopolitical tensions. This backdrop, combined with University of Michigan one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%, supports trader focus on whether September’s reading repeats the 0.4% pace or edges to 0.5% as energy effects linger. The near-even 29.5% and 28.5% implied probabilities on those two outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of shelter moderation, potential goods-price rebounds, and seasonal factors ahead of the October 14 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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