Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% range at 29.8% implied probability, closely trailed by 3.0–3.4% at 21.4%, reflecting balanced bets amid recent disinflation and looming supply pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below expectations—due to base effects from prior GST/HST relief expiration, yet traders anticipate rebound from oil prices surpassing $100/barrel, U.S. tariffs elevating import costs, and sticky shelter inflation. Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, citing successive supply shocks in its deliberations. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 Monetary Policy Report, which could validate or challenge the mid-3% trajectory versus the 2% target.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.5-3.9% 24.1%
3.0-3.4% 16.9%
2.5–2.9% 13.0%
4.0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
16%
3.0-3.4%
17%
3.5-3.9%
30%
4.0%+
14%
3.5-3.9% 24.1%
3.0-3.4% 16.9%
2.5–2.9% 13.0%
4.0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$282 Vol.
7%
1.0–1.4%
$303 Vol.
<1%
1.5–1.9%
$568 Vol.
5%
2.0–2.4%
$350 Vol.
5%
2.5–2.9%
$464 Vol.
16%
3.0-3.4%
$13,245 Vol.
17%
3.5-3.9%
$263 Vol.
30%
4.0%+
$325 Vol.
14%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% range at 29.8% implied probability, closely trailed by 3.0–3.4% at 21.4%, reflecting balanced bets amid recent disinflation and looming supply pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below expectations—due to base effects from prior GST/HST relief expiration, yet traders anticipate rebound from oil prices surpassing $100/barrel, U.S. tariffs elevating import costs, and sticky shelter inflation. Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, citing successive supply shocks in its deliberations. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 Monetary Policy Report, which could validate or challenge the mid-3% trajectory versus the 2% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$15,800Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 18, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% range at 29.8% implied probability, closely trailed by 3.0–3.4% at 21.4%, reflecting balanced bets amid recent disinflation and looming supply pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below expectations—due to base effects from prior GST/HST relief expiration, yet traders anticipate rebound from oil prices surpassing $100/barrel, U.S. tariffs elevating import costs, and sticky shelter inflation. Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, citing successive supply shocks in its deliberations. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 Monetary Policy Report, which could validate or challenge the mid-3% trajectory versus the 2% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$15,800Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 18, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% range at 29.8% implied probability, closely trailed by 3.0–3.4% at 21.4%, reflecting balanced bets amid recent disinflation and looming supply pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below expectations—due to base effects from prior GST/HST relief expiration, yet traders anticipate rebound from oil prices surpassing $100/barrel, U.S. tariffs elevating import costs, and sticky shelter inflation. Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, citing successive supply shocks in its deliberations. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 Monetary Policy Report, which could validate or challenge the mid-3% trajectory versus the 2% target.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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