Recent monthly CPI prints, including a rebound to 3.1% year-over-year in August 2026 from 2.8% in July, have elevated market-implied odds for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation to finish at 3.0% or higher (41.9% probability). One-off base effects from prior mobile-service discounts and sustained petroleum price gains lifted headline figures, while core inflation (excluding food and energy) accelerated to 3.4%. The Bank of Korea maintains a 2.7% 2026 forecast despite two consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, citing solid growth and external pressures including the Federal Reserve’s latest tightening. Traders appear to weigh these near-term upside surprises against the central bank’s guidance and the September CPI release due October 1, which could shift probabilities among the clustered 2.7–2.9% and sub-2.7% buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3.0%+ 41.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 20.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 9.2%
2.4% to 2.6% 8.8%
$45,104 Vol.
$45,104 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
5%
1.5% to 1.7%
6%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
9%
2.7% to 2.9%
21%
3.0%+
42%
3.0%+ 41.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 20.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 9.2%
2.4% to 2.6% 8.8%
$45,104 Vol.
$45,104 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$3,100 Vol.
5%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,102 Vol.
6%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,862 Vol.
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,778 Vol.
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
$6,641 Vol.
9%
2.7% to 2.9%
$9,402 Vol.
21%
3.0%+
$16,218 Vol.
42%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent monthly CPI prints, including a rebound to 3.1% year-over-year in August 2026 from 2.8% in July, have elevated market-implied odds for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation to finish at 3.0% or higher (41.9% probability). One-off base effects from prior mobile-service discounts and sustained petroleum price gains lifted headline figures, while core inflation (excluding food and energy) accelerated to 3.4%. The Bank of Korea maintains a 2.7% 2026 forecast despite two consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, citing solid growth and external pressures including the Federal Reserve’s latest tightening. Traders appear to weigh these near-term upside surprises against the central bank’s guidance and the September CPI release due October 1, which could shift probabilities among the clustered 2.7–2.9% and sub-2.7% buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$45,104Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent monthly CPI prints, including a rebound to 3.1% year-over-year in August 2026 from 2.8% in July, have elevated market-implied odds for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation to finish at 3.0% or higher (41.9% probability). One-off base effects from prior mobile-service discounts and sustained petroleum price gains lifted headline figures, while core inflation (excluding food and energy) accelerated to 3.4%. The Bank of Korea maintains a 2.7% 2026 forecast despite two consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, citing solid growth and external pressures including the Federal Reserve’s latest tightening. Traders appear to weigh these near-term upside surprises against the central bank’s guidance and the September CPI release due October 1, which could shift probabilities among the clustered 2.7–2.9% and sub-2.7% buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$45,104Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints, including a rebound to 3.1% year-over-year in August 2026 from 2.8% in July, have elevated market-implied odds for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation to finish at 3.0% or higher (41.9% probability). One-off base effects from prior mobile-service discounts and sustained petroleum price gains lifted headline figures, while core inflation (excluding food and energy) accelerated to 3.4%. The Bank of Korea maintains a 2.7% 2026 forecast despite two consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, citing solid growth and external pressures including the Federal Reserve’s latest tightening. Traders appear to weigh these near-term upside surprises against the central bank’s guidance and the September CPI release due October 1, which could shift probabilities among the clustered 2.7–2.9% and sub-2.7% buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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