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Teknologi·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Market icon
Teknologi·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Up

82% peluang
Polymarket

$22,851 Vol.

Up

82% peluang
Polymarket

$22,851 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by Q1's staggering 95,000-plus job cuts across 247 events—averaging 882 daily impacts, up from 2025's 674 pace. Artificial intelligence automation drives nearly half the reductions, as firms like Meta, Snap (1,000 cuts, 16% of staff), Oracle, and UKG restructure for AI infrastructure and efficiency gains despite strong profits. Recent April announcements from Qualcomm, Productboard (30% workforce), and others signal no slowdown, with companies reallocating talent to machine learning and data centers. Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts for further shifts in workforce optimization trends.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$22,851
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by Q1's staggering 95,000-plus job cuts across 247 events—averaging 882 daily impacts, up from 2025's 674 pace. Artificial intelligence automation drives nearly half the reductions, as firms like Meta, Snap (1,000 cuts, 16% of staff), Oracle, and UKG restructure for AI infrastructure and efficiency gains despite strong profits. Recent April announcements from Qualcomm, Productboard (30% workforce), and others signal no slowdown, with companies reallocating talent to machine learning and data centers. Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts for further shifts in workforce optimization trends.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$22,851
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" adalah prediction market harian di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham tentang apakah harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? akan berakhir lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga pembukaannya selama jendela harian yang ditentukan dalam judul. Probabilitas market saat ini adalah 82% untuk "Up." Harga 82% berarti market secara kolektif memberikan peluang 82% untuk hasil tersebut. Harga diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Saham pada hasil yang benar dapat ditukarkan seharga $1 per lembar saat market diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" telah menghasilkan $22.9K dalam total volume trading. Market Up or Down Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? menarik trader aktif yang bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live secara real-time — tingkat aktivitas ini membantu memastikan odds Up/Down saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan peserta market yang banyak. Kamu bisa melacak harga live dan memasang trade langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?," tentukan apakah kamu percaya harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal February 27 akan lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal March 20. Beli "Up" jika kamu pikir harga akan naik dari hari ke hari, atau "Down" jika kamu pikir akan turun. Masukkan jumlahnya dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil yang kamu pilih benar saat penyelesaian, setiap saham bernilai $1.00. Jika salah, saham bernilai $0.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" adalah 82% untuk "Up," artinya kerumunan Polymarket saat ini memberikan peluang 82% bahwa harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? akan berakhir up selama jendela harian ini. Odds ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap data harga live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Selama satu hari penuh, odds mencerminkan sentimen yang berkembang seiring aksi harga hari itu terungkap. Cek kembali secara berkala atau trading sekarang sebelum jendela ditutup.

Market "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" diselesaikan berdasarkan perbandingan harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal February 27 versus pukul 12 siang ET tanggal March 20, menggunakan harga penutupan candle 1 menit Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Jika harga siang tanggal February 27 lebih tinggi, hasilnya "Up"; jika lebih rendah, "Down"; jika sama, market diselesaikan 50-50. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria penyelesaian lengkap dan sumber data di bagian "Rules" di halaman ini.