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icon for Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

icon for Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Up

88% peluang
Polymarket

$25,972 Vol.

Up

88% peluang
Polymarket

$25,972 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tech layoffs in 2026 have already exceeded 2025’s full-year total of roughly 123,000 roles, with trackers like Layoffs.fyi reporting over 123,000 cuts across hundreds of firms by early September and broader estimates reaching 170,000+. Artificial intelligence drives the consensus, as companies including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Dell, and Microsoft cite AI automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of budgets toward model development and data-center infrastructure to justify reductions. This restructuring—often framed as creating “AI-native” operations—has produced faster monthly paces than 2025, including a record May, while firms simultaneously announce multi-billion-dollar AI capex plans. With four months remaining and no slowdown signaled, trader sentiment heavily favors an “up” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tech layoffs in 2026 have already exceeded 2025’s full-year total of roughly 123,000 roles, with trackers like Layoffs.fyi reporting over 123,000 cuts across hundreds of firms by early September and broader estimates reaching 170,000+. Artificial intelligence drives the consensus, as companies including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Dell, and Microsoft cite AI automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of budgets toward model development and data-center infrastructure to justify reductions. This restructuring—often framed as creating “AI-native” operations—has produced faster monthly paces than 2025, including a record May, while firms simultaneously announce multi-billion-dollar AI capex plans. With four months remaining and no slowdown signaled, trader sentiment heavily favors an “up” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" adalah prediction market harian di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham tentang apakah harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? akan berakhir lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga pembukaannya selama jendela harian yang ditentukan dalam judul. Probabilitas market saat ini adalah 86% untuk "Up." Harga 86% berarti market secara kolektif memberikan peluang 86% untuk hasil tersebut. Harga diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Saham pada hasil yang benar dapat ditukarkan seharga $1 per lembar saat market diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" telah menghasilkan $26K dalam total volume trading. Market Up or Down Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? menarik trader aktif yang bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live secara real-time — tingkat aktivitas ini membantu memastikan odds Up/Down saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan peserta market yang banyak. Kamu bisa melacak harga live dan memasang trade langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?," tentukan apakah kamu percaya harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal February 27 akan lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal March 20. Beli "Up" jika kamu pikir harga akan naik dari hari ke hari, atau "Down" jika kamu pikir akan turun. Masukkan jumlahnya dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil yang kamu pilih benar saat penyelesaian, setiap saham bernilai $1.00. Jika salah, saham bernilai $0.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" adalah 86% untuk "Up," artinya kerumunan Polymarket saat ini memberikan peluang 86% bahwa harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? akan berakhir up selama jendela harian ini. Odds ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap data harga live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Selama satu hari penuh, odds mencerminkan sentimen yang berkembang seiring aksi harga hari itu terungkap. Cek kembali secara berkala atau trading sekarang sebelum jendela ditutup.

Market "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" diselesaikan berdasarkan perbandingan harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal February 27 versus pukul 12 siang ET tanggal March 20, menggunakan harga penutupan candle 1 menit Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Jika harga siang tanggal February 27 lebih tinggi, hasilnya "Up"; jika lebih rendah, "Down"; jika sama, market diselesaikan 50-50. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria penyelesaian lengkap dan sumber data di bagian "Rules" di halaman ini.