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Politik·Primer

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 52%

Robert Lulgjuraj 30.9%

Steven Elliott 19.8%

Casey Armitage 8%

Polymarket
BARU

Mike Bouchard 52%

Robert Lulgjuraj 30.9%

Steven Elliott 19.8%

Casey Armitage 8%

Polymarket
BARU

Mike Bouchard

$1,911 Vol.

61%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$0 Vol.

22%

Steven Elliott

$0 Vol.

20%

Casey Armitage

$2,278 Vol.

8%

Justin Kirk

$808 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard's trader consensus lead at 60.5% in Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary stems from his dominant Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $427,000, pushing cash on hand to $847,000—edging early entrant Robert Lulgjuraj's $822,000 despite the latter's cycle-leading $1.2 million total—as revealed in filings due April 16. Bouchard's momentum builds on high-profile endorsements from Reps. Jim Jordan, Ryan Zinke, and Gabe Evans, plus local validators like Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard and Macomb Prosecutor Pete Lucido, alongside his Army veteran credentials with Bronze Star service. Lulgjuraj holds at 21.9% via Macomb County roots and state legislative backers, while Marine veteran Steven Elliott lingers at 19.8% amid weaker $46,000 cash reserves. A March Strategic National poll showed Bouchard at 29%, but recent financials and the April 21 petition deadline amplify his frontrunner status in this open seat race vacated by Rep. John James for governor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,996
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard's trader consensus lead at 60.5% in Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary stems from his dominant Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $427,000, pushing cash on hand to $847,000—edging early entrant Robert Lulgjuraj's $822,000 despite the latter's cycle-leading $1.2 million total—as revealed in filings due April 16. Bouchard's momentum builds on high-profile endorsements from Reps. Jim Jordan, Ryan Zinke, and Gabe Evans, plus local validators like Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard and Macomb Prosecutor Pete Lucido, alongside his Army veteran credentials with Bronze Star service. Lulgjuraj holds at 21.9% via Macomb County roots and state legislative backers, while Marine veteran Steven Elliott lingers at 19.8% amid weaker $46,000 cash reserves. A March Strategic National poll showed Bouchard at 29%, but recent financials and the April 21 petition deadline amplify his frontrunner status in this open seat race vacated by Rep. John James for governor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,996
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mike Bouchard" di 61%, diikuti oleh "Robert Lulgjuraj" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 61¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 18, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Mike Bouchard" di 61%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Robert Lulgjuraj" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.