No qualifying events have occurred through mid-2026 to trigger a "Yes" resolution, including any Category 5 hurricane landfall in the United States, 8.5+ magnitude earthquake, VEI 6+ volcanic eruption, or major meteor strike. These thresholds represent statistically rare phenomena, with Category 5 U.S. landfalls occurring roughly once per decade on average and great earthquakes or high-VEI eruptions even less frequently according to USGS and Smithsonian records. Ongoing seismic and volcanic monitoring by agencies like the USGS shows no elevated activity meeting resolution criteria, while early 2026 Atlantic conditions have not produced the rapid intensification needed for extreme landfalls. This absence of catalysts reinforces trader consensus around the current 73% implied probability for "No" ahead of peak hurricane season.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNatural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
$222,056 Vol.
$222,056 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$222,056 Vol.
$222,056 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No qualifying events have occurred through mid-2026 to trigger a "Yes" resolution, including any Category 5 hurricane landfall in the United States, 8.5+ magnitude earthquake, VEI 6+ volcanic eruption, or major meteor strike. These thresholds represent statistically rare phenomena, with Category 5 U.S. landfalls occurring roughly once per decade on average and great earthquakes or high-VEI eruptions even less frequently according to USGS and Smithsonian records. Ongoing seismic and volcanic monitoring by agencies like the USGS shows no elevated activity meeting resolution criteria, while early 2026 Atlantic conditions have not produced the rapid intensification needed for extreme landfalls. This absence of catalysts reinforces trader consensus around the current 73% implied probability for "No" ahead of peak hurricane season.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$222,056Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No qualifying events have occurred through mid-2026 to trigger a "Yes" resolution, including any Category 5 hurricane landfall in the United States, 8.5+ magnitude earthquake, VEI 6+ volcanic eruption, or major meteor strike. These thresholds represent statistically rare phenomena, with Category 5 U.S. landfalls occurring roughly once per decade on average and great earthquakes or high-VEI eruptions even less frequently according to USGS and Smithsonian records. Ongoing seismic and volcanic monitoring by agencies like the USGS shows no elevated activity meeting resolution criteria, while early 2026 Atlantic conditions have not produced the rapid intensification needed for extreme landfalls. This absence of catalysts reinforces trader consensus around the current 73% implied probability for "No" ahead of peak hurricane season.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Volume
$222,056Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No qualifying events have occurred through mid-2026 to trigger a "Yes" resolution, including any Category 5 hurricane landfall in the United States, 8.5+ magnitude earthquake, VEI 6+ volcanic eruption, or major meteor strike. These thresholds represent statistically rare phenomena, with Category 5 U.S. landfalls occurring roughly once per decade on average and great earthquakes or high-VEI eruptions even less frequently according to USGS and Smithsonian records. Ongoing seismic and volcanic monitoring by agencies like the USGS shows no elevated activity meeting resolution criteria, while early 2026 Atlantic conditions have not produced the rapid intensification needed for extreme landfalls. This absence of catalysts reinforces trader consensus around the current 73% implied probability for "No" ahead of peak hurricane season.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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