No leads at 87% implied probability because no qualifying events have occurred through early September 2026. NOAA and NHC records show no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls amid neutral-to-cool ENSO conditions and persistent wind shear that have kept Atlantic activity below climatological norms. USGS data indicate no earthquakes reaching magnitude 8.5, while global volcanic monitoring reports no VEI 6 or higher eruptions. Meteor impact records similarly remain clear of 10 kt+ events. These absences align with historical patterns where such extreme thresholds occur infrequently, though the final months of the Atlantic hurricane season and ongoing seismic surveillance represent the primary remaining variables that could alter outcomes before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNatural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
13% peluang
$245,819 Vol.
$245,819 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
13% peluang
$245,819 Vol.
$245,819 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No leads at 87% implied probability because no qualifying events have occurred through early September 2026. NOAA and NHC records show no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls amid neutral-to-cool ENSO conditions and persistent wind shear that have kept Atlantic activity below climatological norms. USGS data indicate no earthquakes reaching magnitude 8.5, while global volcanic monitoring reports no VEI 6 or higher eruptions. Meteor impact records similarly remain clear of 10 kt+ events. These absences align with historical patterns where such extreme thresholds occur infrequently, though the final months of the Atlantic hurricane season and ongoing seismic surveillance represent the primary remaining variables that could alter outcomes before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$245,819Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No leads at 87% implied probability because no qualifying events have occurred through early September 2026. NOAA and NHC records show no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls amid neutral-to-cool ENSO conditions and persistent wind shear that have kept Atlantic activity below climatological norms. USGS data indicate no earthquakes reaching magnitude 8.5, while global volcanic monitoring reports no VEI 6 or higher eruptions. Meteor impact records similarly remain clear of 10 kt+ events. These absences align with historical patterns where such extreme thresholds occur infrequently, though the final months of the Atlantic hurricane season and ongoing seismic surveillance represent the primary remaining variables that could alter outcomes before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Volume
$245,819Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No leads at 87% implied probability because no qualifying events have occurred through early September 2026. NOAA and NHC records show no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls amid neutral-to-cool ENSO conditions and persistent wind shear that have kept Atlantic activity below climatological norms. USGS data indicate no earthquakes reaching magnitude 8.5, while global volcanic monitoring reports no VEI 6 or higher eruptions. Meteor impact records similarly remain clear of 10 kt+ events. These absences align with historical patterns where such extreme thresholds occur infrequently, though the final months of the Atlantic hurricane season and ongoing seismic surveillance represent the primary remaining variables that could alter outcomes before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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