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icon for How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

icon for How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159 82.8%

160-179 12.4%

120-139 6.1%

200 or more 1.9%

Polymarket

$333,201 Vol.

140-159 82.8%

160-179 12.4%

120-139 6.1%

200 or more 1.9%

Polymarket

$333,201 Vol.

100-119

$3,518 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$5,146 Vol.

6%

140-159

$50,120 Vol.

83%

160-179

$100,325 Vol.

12%

180-199

$61,219 Vol.

1%

200 or more

$107,058 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX maintains a record launch cadence in 2026 through Falcon 9 reusability, with boosters routinely flying 15–27 missions and dual-coast operations enabling multiple Starlink deployments weekly. As of early September, the company has completed roughly 105 Falcon-family orbital attempts, on pace for 140–160 total missions when including limited Starship test flights. Official comments from SpaceX leadership project around 140–145 Falcon 9 launches for the year, driven by ongoing constellation expansion and government payloads rather than rapid Starship scaling. Remaining quarterly manifest density, regulatory streamlining, and any Starship orbital progress represent key variables that could shift the final tally within the dominant market range.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$333,201
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX maintains a record launch cadence in 2026 through Falcon 9 reusability, with boosters routinely flying 15–27 missions and dual-coast operations enabling multiple Starlink deployments weekly. As of early September, the company has completed roughly 105 Falcon-family orbital attempts, on pace for 140–160 total missions when including limited Starship test flights. Official comments from SpaceX leadership project around 140–145 Falcon 9 launches for the year, driven by ongoing constellation expansion and government payloads rather than rapid Starship scaling. Remaining quarterly manifest density, regulatory streamlining, and any Starship orbital progress represent key variables that could shift the final tally within the dominant market range.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$333,201
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many SpaceX launches in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "140-159" di 83%, diikuti oleh "160-179" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 83¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $333.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?" adalah "140-159" di 83%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "160-179" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.