Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Politik·Trump

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

icon for Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Politik·Trump

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune 50%

Chuck Schumer 44%

John Barrasso 23%

Rick Scott 15%

Polymarket
BARU

John Thune 50%

Chuck Schumer 44%

John Barrasso 23%

Rick Scott 15%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for John Thune

John Thune

$6 Vol.

50%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$40 Vol.

44%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$0 Vol.

10%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and prediction markets have shifted to favor Democrats regaining Senate control in the November 2026 midterms, creating uncertainty over which party's leader will assume the minority role. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority with John Thune as majority leader following Mitch McConnell's earlier departure, while Chuck Schumer serves as Democratic minority leader. Internal GOP dynamics, including prior leadership challenges from figures like Rick Scott, and Democratic discussions around caucus direction add layers of speculation. The broad field of listed contenders reflects limited confirmed announcements and the potential for post-election negotiations or retirements to influence outcomes. Upcoming election results and subsequent party conferences will likely drive separation among probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and prediction markets have shifted to favor Democrats regaining Senate control in the November 2026 midterms, creating uncertainty over which party's leader will assume the minority role. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority with John Thune as majority leader following Mitch McConnell's earlier departure, while Chuck Schumer serves as Democratic minority leader. Internal GOP dynamics, including prior leadership challenges from figures like Rick Scott, and Democratic discussions around caucus direction add layers of speculation. The broad field of listed contenders reflects limited confirmed announcements and the potential for post-election negotiations or retirements to influence outcomes. Upcoming election results and subsequent party conferences will likely drive separation among probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Terkait

icon for Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

40%
icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

78%
icon for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next US Senate Minority Leader?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Thune" di 88%, diikuti oleh "Chuck Schumer" di 56%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Next US Senate Minority Leader?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 23, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Next US Senate Minority Leader?," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next US Senate Minority Leader?" adalah "John Thune" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Chuck Schumer" di 56%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next US Senate Minority Leader?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.