OPEC continues to coordinate output policy through regular meetings of its core members and OPEC+ allies, including a September 2026 decision to hold October production targets steady amid the Iran conflict's disruptions to exports and shipping routes. Recent exits by the UAE and prior departures such as Angola have reduced membership to eleven nations without halting quota discussions or capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Internal strains, including Iraq's quota demands and Venezuela's potential reconsideration tied to post-regime energy investments, have prompted speculation about eroding discipline but not organizational dissolution. Traders assign overwhelming probability against full dissolution because the cartel has adapted to membership changes historically, and no coordinated withdrawal or structural breakdown has materialized in 2026. Late-year escalations in the Gulf conflict or additional high-capacity exits could still pressure cohesion before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate output policy through regular meetings of its core members and OPEC+ allies, including a September 2026 decision to hold October production targets steady amid the Iran conflict's disruptions to exports and shipping routes. Recent exits by the UAE and prior departures such as Angola have reduced membership to eleven nations without halting quota discussions or capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Internal strains, including Iraq's quota demands and Venezuela's potential reconsideration tied to post-regime energy investments, have prompted speculation about eroding discipline but not organizational dissolution. Traders assign overwhelming probability against full dissolution because the cartel has adapted to membership changes historically, and no coordinated withdrawal or structural breakdown has materialized in 2026. Late-year escalations in the Gulf conflict or additional high-capacity exits could still pressure cohesion before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$36,499Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate output policy through regular meetings of its core members and OPEC+ allies, including a September 2026 decision to hold October production targets steady amid the Iran conflict's disruptions to exports and shipping routes. Recent exits by the UAE and prior departures such as Angola have reduced membership to eleven nations without halting quota discussions or capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Internal strains, including Iraq's quota demands and Venezuela's potential reconsideration tied to post-regime energy investments, have prompted speculation about eroding discipline but not organizational dissolution. Traders assign overwhelming probability against full dissolution because the cartel has adapted to membership changes historically, and no coordinated withdrawal or structural breakdown has materialized in 2026. Late-year escalations in the Gulf conflict or additional high-capacity exits could still pressure cohesion before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,499Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to coordinate output policy through regular meetings of its core members and OPEC+ allies, including a September 2026 decision to hold October production targets steady amid the Iran conflict's disruptions to exports and shipping routes. Recent exits by the UAE and prior departures such as Angola have reduced membership to eleven nations without halting quota discussions or capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Internal strains, including Iraq's quota demands and Venezuela's potential reconsideration tied to post-regime energy investments, have prompted speculation about eroding discipline but not organizational dissolution. Traders assign overwhelming probability against full dissolution because the cartel has adapted to membership changes historically, and no coordinated withdrawal or structural breakdown has materialized in 2026. Late-year escalations in the Gulf conflict or additional high-capacity exits could still pressure cohesion before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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